Comments on: The rumors http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/ China and Other things Thu, 28 Aug 2008 12:31:38 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.2.3 By: Online Journalism China: shortcomings in the earthquake relief effort going unnoticed in the scramble to present a front of national unity : Journalism.co.uk editors blog http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9790 Online Journalism China: shortcomings in the earthquake relief effort going unnoticed in the scramble to present a front of national unity : Journalism.co.uk editors blog Tue, 20 May 2008 08:42:53 +0000 http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9790 [...] law has came to the fore after a number of false rumours surfaced in chatrooms and forums alleging that the authorities had somehow been warned that the [...] […] law has came to the fore after a number of false rumours surfaced in chatrooms and forums alleging that the authorities had somehow been warned that the […]

]]> By: revi http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9270 revi Fri, 16 May 2008 12:36:32 +0000 http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9270 @Jim Well Jim, if one is smart one should read what ANYBODY writes with a pinch of salt and instead look at an issue from varying perspectives, but most important of all, KNOW YOURSELF AND LEARN TO THINK FOR YOURSELF. @Jim

Well Jim, if one is smart one should read what ANYBODY writes with a pinch of salt and instead look at an issue from varying perspectives, but most important of all, KNOW YOURSELF AND LEARN TO THINK FOR YOURSELF.

]]> By: RUMOURS CAUSE CHAOS http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9252 RUMOURS CAUSE CHAOS Fri, 16 May 2008 05:20:05 +0000 http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9252 "Last night saw another mass exodus from the core of the city area as rumors flew about another "looming" seismic event. Cars lined any boulevard where the buildings were "out of reach" and people slept the night away in them, with makeshift canopies and tents hanging off the opened doors and trunks." Excerpt from well-established Chengdu forum “Last night saw another mass exodus from the core of the city area as rumors flew about another “looming” seismic event. Cars lined any boulevard where the buildings were “out of reach” and people slept the night away in them, with makeshift canopies and tents hanging off the opened doors and trunks.”

Excerpt from well-established Chengdu forum

]]> By: jim http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9228 jim Thu, 15 May 2008 05:46:06 +0000 http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9228 >>I think people should take what they print about China with a very big pinch of salt, I agree. Just wondering: does this rule apply to the entire state-controlled media in China as well? Or only CNN and the Epoch Times? >>I think people should take what they print about China with a very big pinch of salt,

I agree. Just wondering: does this rule apply to the entire state-controlled media in China as well? Or only CNN and the Epoch Times?

]]> By: Revi http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9153 Revi Wed, 14 May 2008 13:23:40 +0000 http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9153 Ahem...don't know if you guys know this, but Epoch Times is actually part of the Falun Gong organisation's money making/marketing/propaganda vehicle. I think people should take what they print about China with a very big pinch of salt, although recently they have been alot less obvious about it, but occasionally their sentiment and bias still comes out. Ahem…don’t know if you guys know this, but Epoch Times is actually part of the Falun Gong organisation’s money making/marketing/propaganda vehicle. I think people should take what they print about China with a very big pinch of salt, although recently they have been alot less obvious about it, but occasionally their sentiment and bias still comes out.

]]> By: The Opposite End of China || Xinjiang & Northwest China Blog (中国的另一端 || 新疆 & 中国西北博客) http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9144 The Opposite End of China || Xinjiang & Northwest China Blog (中国的另一端 || 新疆 & 中国西北博客) Wed, 14 May 2008 07:45:10 +0000 http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9144 <strong>Aim Your Fury at Topeka....</strong> As hope fades for trapped victims of the earthquake disaster in Sichuan, the initial stage of shock and awe is giving way to a feeling of mass helplessness. Entire cities...... Aim Your Fury at Topeka….

As hope fades for trapped victims of the earthquake disaster in Sichuan, the initial stage of shock and awe is giving way to a feeling of mass helplessness. Entire cities……

]]> By: ranc http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9137 ranc Wed, 14 May 2008 05:23:29 +0000 http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9137 Also, the USGS has the following useful FAQs. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/faq.php?categoryID=6 Also, the USGS has the following useful FAQs.

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/faq.php?categoryID=6

]]> By: ranc http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9136 ranc Wed, 14 May 2008 05:22:19 +0000 http://www.blackandwhitecat.org/2008/05/14/the-rumors/#comment-9136 With regard to the first rumor, it will be benefitial if more people know type I error (false positive) and type II error (false negative) in statistics/forcasting. NO forecasting is 100% accurate, and before making any forecasting, one has to weight the relagive likelihood and consequence of the two types of errors in making that forecasting. So it's likely that some people have forecasted the quake, but if the forecast is deemed by most other people to have significant chances of being a type II error, with that error having significant consequences, than it's fairly normal that the forecast (of certain individuals) not announced to the public. With regard to the first rumor, it will be benefitial if more people know type I error (false positive) and type II error (false negative) in statistics/forcasting. NO forecasting is 100% accurate, and before making any forecasting, one has to weight the relagive likelihood and consequence of the two types of errors in making that forecasting. So it’s likely that some people have forecasted the quake, but if the forecast is deemed by most other people to have significant chances of being a type II error, with that error having significant consequences, than it’s fairly normal that the forecast (of certain individuals) not announced to the public.

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